When the two teams play in Group B on Thursday, Dan Fitch believes Brazil will be able to contain a faltering Colombian side.
Brazil is in good shape.
Brazil returns to action in the Copa America on Thursday, when they face Colombia, after a six-day hiatus.
Despite Tite’s heavy rotation, the hosts have looked like the most accomplished team in the tournament thus far, beating Venezuela 3-0 in their first game and then crushing Peru 4-0 in their second. Brazil now has a 1.8 chance of winning the Copa America in 2021.
With Colombia – at least on paper – being Brazil’s biggest opponent in Group B, we may expect Tite to field his strongest possible team in this match. Only five players have started both games, and Neymar has done well thus far, scoring two goals and assisted on another. The PSG forward is the 3.25 favorite to score the most goals in the competition.
Taking on the necessary reforms for Colombia
Colombia is in second place in Group B, but they must be dissatisfied with their performance thus far.
Things have gotten worse, not better, after a poor start with a 1-0 win over Ecuador. They drew 0-0 with Venezuela in their next game and then lost 2-1 to Peru in their third outing.
Reinaldo Rueda’s club is clearly not performing well in attack, with only two goals scored in three games, and he may try to reshuffle his personnel. Luis Diaz, a winger for Porto, is available again after serving a suspension and could make a comeback. Luis Muriel is another option for Rueda, as the striker is coming off a season in which he scored 26 goals for Atalanta. Muriel scored twice in a 2-2 tie between Colombia and Brazil in September of this year.
Brazil will keep a clean sheet, and Neymar will be able to continue running.
Brazil is the 1.51 favorite, with a draw worth 4.4 and a Colombia victory worth 7.8.
Colombia has given no signs in this competition that they will be able to contain Brazil, who appear to be reasonably priced. Given Colombia’s scoring woes, betting on Brazil to win to nil at 2.22 is the most obvious way to enhance their odds. Should you check farther back, this bet has landed in each of Brazil’s two games in this tournament, as well as eight of their last nine games.
With these goals, Neymar now has 68 goals in 107 games for Brazil. Since the start of 2020, he has scored seven goals in his last six games for the Selecao. In the Copa America, Neymar is a 2.1 favorite to score for the third time in a row.
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COPA AMERICA DAN FITCH 2021 P/L
18.00 points stacked
20.81 points were returned.
+2.81 points P/L